Last 12 Months of MLO Favourites

I figured it was time to limit the window of evaluation to the proceeding twelve months. For the months of April 2014 to March 2015 inclusive, I have tabulated the results of lines made for several North American flat thoroughbred race tracks.* The results are listed in the table below.

In the chart below, the first column represents the percentage of times the the morning line maker correctly selected the post time favourite with his/her morning line. The way to read the first line is: the Beulah Park’s morning line maker’s lowest priced horse after scratches was the post time favourite 90 of 112 times in thoroughbred races during the window of the study.

The table is not a definitely test of the skill of the linemakers. The difficulty of making a morning line varies from track to track as a function of field size and inclement weather. The data presented for the reader’s own interpretation.

TRACKS Percentage ML Favorites* Also PT Favorites*
BEU – Beulah Park** 80.4% 112 90
LA – Los Alamitos 77.1% 328 253
STK – Stockton 75.0% 40 30
ASD – Assiniboia Downs 74.6% 599 447
SA – Santa Anita 74.2% 960 712
AQU – Aqueduct 74.1% 718 532
EMD – Emerald Downs 73.6% 602 443
SR – Santa Rosa 73.6% 87 64
PIM – Pimlico 73.5% 344 253
GG – Golden Gate 72.9% 1049 765
TAM – Tampa Bay Downs 72.9% 694 506
DMR – Del Mar 71.8% 411 295
CD – Churchill Downs 71.7% 685 491
HST – Hastings Racecourse 71.1% 405 288
LRC – Los Alamitos TB 71.0% 255 181
RP – Remington Park 70.8% 589 417
MTH – Monmouth Park 70.7% 632 447
LAD – Louisiana Downs 70.6% 720 508
NP – Northlands Park 70.3% 593 417
LRL – Laurel Park 70.1% 757 531
MVR – Mahoning Valley Racinge 70.0% 404 283
FNO – Fresno 69.8% 63 44
WRD – Will Rogers Downs 69.7% 244 170
FG – Fair Grounds 69.4% 532 369
LS -Lone Star Park 69.0% 439 303
MED – Meadowlands 68.8% 48 33
AP – Arlington Park 68.6% 825 566
SAR- Saratoga 68.3% 401 274
SAC – Sacramento 68.3% 41 28
IND – Indiana Grand 68.1% 943 642
BEL – Belmont Park 68.0% 774 526
GP – Gulfstream Park 67.9% 1522 1033
FE – Fort Erie 67.8% 307 208
TUP – Turf Paradise 67.4% 809 545
PRM – Prairie Meadows 67.4% 576 388
GPW – Gulfstream Park West 67.0% 710 476
FL – Finger Lakes 66.8% 1312 876
HAW – Hawthorne Racecourse 66.6% 674 449
KEE – Keeneland 66.4% 301 200
ZIA – Zia Park 66.3% 335 222
PID – Presque Isle Downs 66.2% 794 526
WO – Woodbine 66.2% 1212 802
SUN – Sunland Park 65.8% 351 231
MNR – Mountaineer Park 65.8% 1584 1042
PEN – Penn National 65.7% 1475 969
OP – Oaklawn Park 65.3% 372 243
EVD – Evangeline Downs 64.4% 764 492
CT – Charles Town 63.3% 1412 894
SUF – Suffolk Downs 63.0% 560 353
PLN – Pleasanton 62.5% 88 55
FER – Ferndale 62.5% 32 20
FP – Fairmount Park 62.4% 388 242
ARP – Arapahoe Park 62.2% 233 145
CLS – Columbus 62.2% 111 69
KD – Kentucky Downs 62.0% 50 31
DED – Delta Downs 61.8% 668 413
PRX – Parx 61.4% 1533 941
RUI – Ruidoso Downs 61.3% 243 149
CBY – Canterbury Park 61.1% 529 323
DEL – Delaware Park 59.4% 599 356
BTP – Belterra Park 59.4% 798 474
ELP – Ellis Park 59.1% 242 143
TP – Turfway Park 59.0% 366 216
FON – Fonner Park 57.1% 266 152
TDN – Thistledowns 57.0% 971 553
SRP – Sun Ray Park 56.7% 201 114
RET – Retama Park 52.8% 197 104
ALB – The Downs at Albuquerque 50.0% 316 158
FMT – Tulsa Fair Meadows 48.4% 159 77
HOU – Sam Houston Race Park 45.8% 131 60
ATL – Atlantic City** 40.0% 30 12

The current leader, Los Alamitos TB meet, retains the chart topper position. It should be noted that I have separated the evening new daytime thoroughbred meets (LRC) from the Los Al races during the evening quarterhorse meets (LA). The mean – 66.6% – success in tabbing the post time favourite with the morning line favourite.

* – DISCLAIMER: While every effort has been made to insure the correctness of the above data, this blog and its author assumes no liability for any mistakes in the above information.

** – Tracks that have discontinued live meets.

2015 Q1 Update to MLO Table

For the months of August 2013 to March 2015 inclusive, I have tabulated the results of lines made for several North American flat thoroughbred race tracks.* The results are listed in the table below.

In the chart below, the first column represents the percentage of times the the morning line maker correctly selected the post time favourite with his/her morning line. The way to read the first line is: the Los Alamitos TB’s morning line maker’s lowest priced horse after scratches was the post time favourite 475 of 610 times in thoroughbred races during the window of the study.

The table is not a definitely test of the skill of the linemakers. The difficulty of making a morning line varies from track to track as a function of field size and inclement weather. The data presented for the reader’s own interpretation.

TRACKS Percentage ML Favorites* Also PT Favorites*
LA – Los Alamitos 77.9% 610 475
SA – Santa Anita 75.6% 1651 1248
ASD – Assiniboia Downs 74.8% 786 588
GG – Golden Gate 74.8% 1946 1455
AQU – Aqueduct 73.9% 1533 1133
FNO – Fresno 73.8% 126 93
SR – Santa Rosa 73.8% 145 107
PIM – Pimlico 73.5% 344 253
MED – Meadowlands 73.5% 102 75
TAM – Tampa Bay Downs 73.0% 1338 977
BSR – Barretts Sales Racing** 72.0% 132 95
CD – Churchill Downs 71.4% 1061 758
LRL – Laurel Park 71.4% 1644 1174
EMD – Emerald Downs 71.4% 838 598
LRC – Los Alamitos TB 71.0% 255 181
LAD – Louisiana Downs 70.2% 1013 711
MVR – Mahoning Valley Racinge 70.0% 404 283
DMR – Del Mar 69.9% 642 449
MTH – Monmouth Park 69.9% 911 637
BHP – Hollywood Park** 69.9% 239 167
GPW – Gulfstream Park West 69.7% 1562 1089
BEU – Beulah Park** 69.7% 746 520
WRD – Will Rogers Downs 69.5% 318 221
AP – Arlington Park 69.3% 1178 816
LS -Lone Star Park 69.0% 439 303
BEL – Belmont Park 69.0% 1133 782
IND – Indiana Grand 69.0% 1439 993
FG – Fair Grounds 68.6% 1269 870
HST – Hastings Racecourse 68.5% 603 413
SAC – Sacramento 68.3% 41 28
GP – Gulfstream Park 67.9% 2605 1770
WO – Woodbine 67.7% 1958 1325
SAR- Saratoga 67.7% 699 473
PRM – Prairie Meadows 67.2% 641 431
TUP – Turf Paradise 66.7% 1729 1154
HAW – Hawthorne Racecourse 66.5% 1309 871
MNR – Mountaineer Park 66.5% 2729 1814
FL – Finger Lakes 66.4% 2155 1431
RP – Remington Park 66.2% 1180 781
NP – Northlands Park 66.1% 898 594
KEE – Keeneland 65.9% 461 304
STK – Stockton 65.8% 76 50
PEN – Penn National 65.2% 2493 1626
OP – Oaklawn Park 65.1% 734 478
KD – Kentucky Downs 65.0% 100 65
FE – Fort Erie 65.0% 517 336
FP – Fairmount Park 64.5% 538 347
CT – Charles Town 64.5% 2487 1603
EVD – Evangeline Downs 64.2% 978 628
PID – Presque Isle Downs 64.2% 1119 718
TP – Turfway Park 63.9% 804 514
CLS – Columbus 63.8% 235 150
DED – Delta Downs 63.6% 1505 957
ZIA – Zia Park 63.1% 699 441
SUN – Sunland Park 63.1% 769 485
RUI – Ruidoso Downs 62.7% 324 203
PLN – Pleasanton 62.5% 88 55
CBY – Canterbury Park 62.0% 747 463
FER – Ferndale 62.0% 71 44
PRX – Parx 61.8% 2595 1604
ARP – Arapahoe Park 61.6% 294 181
SUF – Suffolk Downs 60.7% 1029 625
BTP – Belterra Park 59.4% 798 474
DEL – Delaware Park 59.4% 916 544
FON – Fonner Park 58.6% 389 228
TDN – Thistledowns 57.4% 1467 842
ELP – Ellis Park 57.0% 381 217
SRP – Sun Ray Park 56.7% 201 114
ALB – The Downs at Albuquerque 53.5% 617 330
HOU – Sam Houston Race Park 51.8% 425 220
RET – Retama Park 50.4% 419 211
FMT – Tulsa Fair Meadows 49.4% 168 83
ATL – Atlantic City 40.0% 30 12

The current leader, Los Alamitos TB meet, retains the chart topper position. It should be noted that I have separated the evening new daytime thoroughbred meets (LRC) from the Los Al races during the evening quarterhorse meets (LA). The mean – 66.8% – success in tabbing the post time favourite with the morning line favourite.

* – DISCLAIMER: While every effort has been made to insure the correctness of the above data, this blog and its author assumes no liability for any mistakes in the above information.

** – Tracks that have discontinued live meets.

Full Fields: Thursday, March 26th

As a racing secretary, creating this page is my daily reminder that the patrons enjoy full fields which also generate larger handles that grow purse pools for horsepeople.

There are eight fields with at least 12 entrants (before scratches including Also Eligibles) on tap today.

FG Entries – 5, 8, 9, 10, 11
GP Entries – 1
OP Entries – 3, 6

In order to help horse racing fans find quality, full fields, the North American thoroughbred races categorized as ‘Full Fields’ will be listed daily and will have a minimum pre-scratch field size of twelve and a minimum purse of $12,000.* (Hurdles, steeplechase, and point-to-points are not listed.)

*- DISCLAIMER: While every effort has been made to insure the correctness of the above data, this blog and its author assumes no liability for any mistakes in the above information.

Full Fields: Wednesday, March 25th

As a racing secretary, creating this page is my daily reminder that the patrons enjoy full fields which also generate larger handles that grow purse pools for horsepeople.

There are three fields with at least 12 entrants (before scratches including Also Eligibles) on tap today.

PEN Entries – 4
TAM Entries – 6, 10

In order to help horse racing fans find quality, full fields, the North American thoroughbred races categorized as ‘Full Fields’ will be listed daily and will have a minimum pre-scratch field size of twelve and a minimum purse of $12,000.* (Hurdles, steeplechase, and point-to-points are not listed.)

*- DISCLAIMER: While every effort has been made to insure the correctness of the above data, this blog and its author assumes no liability for any mistakes in the above information.

No Full Fields: Tuesday, March 24th

As a racing secretary, creating this page is my daily reminder that the patrons enjoy full fields which also generate larger handles that grow purse pools for horsepeople.

There are zero fields with at least 12 entrants (before scratches including Also Eligibles) on tap today.

In order to help horse racing fans find quality, full fields, the North American thoroughbred races categorized as ‘Full Fields’ will be listed daily and will have a minimum pre-scratch field size of twelve and a minimum purse of $12,000.* (Hurdles, steeplechase, and point-to-points are not listed.)

*- DISCLAIMER: While every effort has been made to insure the correctness of the above data, this blog and its author assumes no liability for any mistakes in the above information.