“Memorial Day Betting Challenge” Set for Monday, May 30

PRESS RELEASE

For Immediate Release May 24, 2016

“Memorial Day Betting Challenge” Set for Monday, May 30
2nd Annual “Winner Gives All” Contest

Horse Racing Radio Network (HRRN), the Eclipse Award-winning broadcast organization based in Lexington, KY and official radio home of the Triple Crown and Breeders’ Cup World Championships, announced Tuesday the second annual Memorial Day Betting Challenge will take place Monday, May 30, 2016. The unique ‘Winner Gives All’ internet handicapping contest will be hosted at linemakers.net. For a $20 pledge donation, contestants will compete for a charity of their choice to receive the entire donation pool. Scoring of the one-day event will be based upon mythical $2 WPS wagers on Thoroughbred races throughout North America. Contestants have the option of playing for their favorite charity or suggested beneficiaries, including horse racing themed charities such as the Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance, Permanently Disabled Jockeys Fund, and Racetrack Chaplaincy or military-themed charities like the Special Operations Warrior Fund and the Injured Marine Semper Fi Fund.

Contest news throughout the week and scoring updates during the event will be posted on Twitter with the hashtag #MemDayBC. The slate of contest races will be announced on the evening of Friday, May 28th. The Memorial Day Betting Challenge will have a ‘lockdown’ format where selections are made before 1:00 PM EDT on Monday.

The Memorial Day Betting Challenge will be administered in partnership with Stuart Slagle, Woodbine Racecourse’s Thoroughbred Racing Secretary. Mr. Slagle has graciously donated four tickets to the 2016 Queen’s Plate to be run on July 3rd at Woodbine in Toronto, Ontario. The tickets will go to the highest scoring contestant able to attend the first leg of the Canadian Triple Crown.

“I am excited to partner with HRRN,” said Slagle. “Win, lose, or draw – all competitors will have a sense of accomplishment in raising funds and awareness for worthy charities.”

###
For more information, contact Stuart Slagle at ovals@yahoo.com.

About HRRN
The Horse Racing Radio Network is your home for Eclipse Award winning coverage of the biggest events in racing throughout the year. In 2016, HRRN will broadcast more than 100 stakes races from racetracks across the country, and is the official radio network of the Kentucky Derby, Preakness, Belmont Stakes and Breeders’ Cup World Championships. HRRN also produces a series of popular talk shows aired throughout the week on SiriusXM satellite radio: Jock Talk presented by Tito’s Handmade Vodka (Tuesday, 6-7 p.m. ET), Trainer Talk presented by Fasig-Tipton (Wednesday, 6-7 p.m. ET), Brisnet Call In Show (Thursday, 6-7 p.m. ET), Xpressbet Weekend Stakes Preview (Friday, 6-7 p.m. ET) and the Equine Forum (Saturday, 8-10 a.m. ET). For more information visit www.horseracingradio.net, follow us on Twitter @HRRN and like “Horse Racing Radio Network” on facebook

Morning Line Performances for Maiden Races

For the months of May 2015 to April 2016 inclusive, I have tabulated the results of lines made for several North American flat thoroughbred race tracks for maiden racing only.* The results are listed in the table below.

In the chart below, the first column represents the percentage of times the the morning line maker correctly selected the post time favourite with his/her morning line. The way to read the first line is: the Ferndale’s morning line maker’s lowest priced horse after scratches was the post time favourite 7 of 8 times in thoroughbred races during the window of the study.

The table is not a definitive test of the skill of the linemakers. The difficulty of making a morning line varies from track to track as a function of field size, track condition, and inclement weather. The data presented for the reader’s own interpretation.

TRACKS Percentage ML Favorites* Also PT Favorites*
FER – Ferndale 87.5% 8 7
LRC – Los Alamitos TB 77.1% 144 111
LA – Los Alamitos 76.1% 71 54
EMD – Emerald Downs 75.8% 178 135
GG – Golden Gate 75.2% 379 285
SR – Santa Rosa 75.0% 24 18
SA – Santa Anita 74.4% 367 273
NP – Northlands Park 73.6% 148 109
PRM – Prairie Meadows 73.4% 169 124
LRL – Laurel Park 73.3% 318 233
ASD – Assiniboia Downs 72.7% 66 48
MNR – Mountaineer Park 72.2% 209 151
AP – Arlington Park 72.0% 143 103
TUP – Turf Paradise 72.0% 189 136
MED – Meadowlands 71.4% 14 10
IND – Indiana Grand 71.2% 351 250
PIM – Pimlico 71.2% 59 42
AQU – Aqueduct 71.1% 298 212
PLN – Pleasanton 70.4% 27 19
FG – Fair Grounds 70.2% 245 172
KEE – Keeneland 69.6% 112 78
CBY – Canterbury Park 69.6% 158 110
LS -Lone Star Park 69.5% 154 107
RP – Remington Park 69.2% 182 126
FP – Fairmount Park 68.6% 70 48
ZIA – Zia Park 68.6% 105 72
OP – Oaklawn Park 68.3% 142 97
CD – Churchill Downs 68.2% 223 152
SRP – Sun Ray Park 68.1% 47 32
SAC – Sacramento 68.0% 25 17
WO – Woodbine 67.9% 468 318
HAW – Hawthorne Racecourse 67.9% 131 89
LAD – Louisiana Downs 67.7% 198 134
GP – Gulfstream Park 67.6% 771 521
BEL – Belmont Park 67.2% 302 203
PEN – Penn National 67.2% 344 231
CLS – Columbus 66.7% 21 14
FON – Fonner Park 66.7% 48 32
SUF – Suffolk Downs 66.7% 3 2
PRX – Parx 66.6% 332 221
TAM – Tampa Bay Downs 66.5% 310 206
WRD – Will Rogers Downs 66.3% 101 67
FL – Finger Lakes 66.3% 240 159
MTH – Monmouth Park 65.5% 168 110
DMR – Del Mar 65.4% 191 125
DED – Delta Downs 65.1% 255 166
CT – Charles Town 65.1% 401 261
TP – Turfway Park 64.9% 131 85
GPW – Gulfstream Park West 63.6% 151 96
MVR – Mahoning Valley Racinge 63.6% 151 96
RET – Retama Park 63.4% 82 52
HST – Hastings Racecourse 63.3% 120 76
PID – Presque Isle Downs 63.3% 166 105
ARP – Arapahoe Park 63.2% 57 36
FNO – Fresno 63.2% 19 12
HP – Hazel Park 62.9% 35 22
ALB – The Downs at Albuquerque 61.7% 47 29
RUI – Ruidoso Downs 59.6% 57 34
BTP – Belterra Park 58.8% 148 87
FE – Fort Erie 58.3% 96 56
HOU – Sam Houston Race Park 58.1% 86 50
EVD – Evangeline Downs 58.1% 241 140
SAR- Saratoga 56.8% 139 79
ELP – Ellis Park 55.8% 104 58
DEL – Delaware Park 54.5% 209 114
SUN – Sunland Park 54.3% 94 51
FMT – Tulsa Fair Meadows 54.0% 50 27
TDN – Thistledowns 51.6% 128 66
STK – Stockton 50.0% 10 5
KD – Kentucky Downs 47.1% 17 8

The current leader, Ferndale, also garnered the top position for all maiden races. The mean – 67.3% – success in tabbing the post time favourite with the morning line favourite. The mean has been holding steady for several months now. The mean for all races and not just maiden events during the same period was 65.9%, so one can conclude that collectively linemakers do a better job at identifying the post time favourite in maiden events than all events.

* – DISCLAIMER: While every effort has been made to insure the correctness of the above data, this blog and its author assumes no liability for any mistakes in the above information.

Grass Racing Morning Line Performances

For the months of May 2015 to April 2016 inclusive, I have tabulated the results of lines made for several North American flat thoroughbred race tracks for turf racing only.* The results are listed in the table below. Races scheduled for the turf but subsequently moved to the main track are not included in this study.

In the chart below, the first column represents the percentage of times the the morning line maker correctly selected the post time favourite with his/her morning line. The way to read the first line is: the Santa Rosa’s morning line maker’s lowest priced horse after scratches was the post time favourite 30 of 35 times in thoroughbred races during the window of the study.

The table is not a definitive test of the skill of the linemakers. The difficulty of making a morning line varies from track to track as a function of field size, track condition, and inclement weather. The data presented for the reader’s own interpretation.

TRACKS Percentage ML Favorites* Also PT Favorites*
SR – Santa Rosa 85.7% 35 30
LAD – Louisiana Downs 77.0% 183 141
MNR – Mountaineer Park 75.7% 189 143
PIM – Pimlico 73.7% 76 56
TAM – Tampa Bay Downs 72.5% 244 177
FE – Fort Erie 71.1% 45 32
GG – Golden Gate 71.0% 231 164
DMR – Del Mar 70.7% 181 128
FG – Fair Grounds 70.6% 221 156
KEE – Keeneland 70.2% 84 59
SA – Santa Anita 69.8% 301 210
LRL – Laurel Park 69.2% 308 213
PEN – Penn National 69.0% 129 89
AQU – Aqueduct 68.8% 112 77
TUP – Turf Paradise 68.2% 217 148
BEL – Belmont Park 68.0% 419 285
HAW – Hawthorne Racecourse 66.7% 75 50
SAR- Saratoga 66.5% 203 135
AP – Arlington Park 66.1% 221 146
MTH – Monmouth Park 65.9% 211 139
IND – Indiana Grand 65.8% 158 104
WO – Woodbine 65.7% 175 115
LS -Lone Star Park 65.4% 107 70
CD – Churchill Downs 65.0% 123 80
GP – Gulfstream Park 64.7% 921 596
KD – Kentucky Downs 64.6% 48 31
GPW – Gulfstream Park West 63.3% 199 126
EVD – Evangeline Downs 60.3% 68 41
MED – Meadowlands 58.3% 60 35
ELP – Ellis Park 57.4% 115 66
RET – Retama Park 57.3% 89 51
CBY – Canterbury Park 56.9% 153 87
DEL – Delaware Park 56.8% 146 83
RP – Remington Park 56.7% 104 59
PRX – Parx 53.5% 129 69
HOU – Sam Houston Race Park 51.9% 79 41
BTP – Belterra Park 50.0% 22 11
SUF – Suffolk Downs 50.0% 10 5

The current leader, Santa Rosa, also garnered the top position in 2015 for all races. The mean – 66.5% – success in tabbing the post time favourite with the morning line favourite. The mean has been holding steady for several months now. The mean for all races and not just turf events during the same period was 65.9%, so one can conclude that collectively linemakers do a better job at identifying the post time favourite in grass events than all events.

By one metric, Santa Rosa arguably produced the best morning line for 2015. They are likely to maintain their position on top of the list until at least when they start again next summer. All together there will likely be few changes in the order of performance

* – DISCLAIMER: While every effort has been made to insure the correctness of the above data, this blog and its author assumes no liability for any mistakes in the above information.

Morning Line Performances for Juvenile Races

While all are focussed on the sophomore class at the moment during Derby week, the freshman thoroughbreds have begun their season in April.

For the months of May 2015 to April 2016 inclusive, I have tabulated the results of lines made for several North American flat thoroughbred race tracks for juvenile racing only.* The results are listed in the table below.

In the chart below, the first column represents the percentage of times the the morning line maker correctly selected the post time favourite with his/her morning line. The way to read the first line is: the Fort Erie’s morning line maker’s lowest priced horse after scratches was the post time favourite 1 of 1 times in thoroughbred races during the window of the study.

The table is not a definitive test of the skill of the linemakers. The difficulty of making a morning line varies from track to track as a function of field size, track condition, and inclement weather. The data presented for the reader’s own interpretation.

TRACKS Percentage ML Favorites* Also PT Favorites*
FE – Fort Erie 100.0% 1 1
HP – Hazel Park 100.0% 3 3
MED – Meadowlands 100.0% 2 2
ALB – The Downs at Albuquerque 85.7% 7 6
SR – Santa Rosa 83.3% 6 5
RP – Remington Park 82.2% 101 83
ASD – Assiniboia Downs 81.3% 16 13
ARP – Arapahoe Park 80.0% 20 16
FP – Fairmount Park 80.0% 5 4
LRC – Los Alamitos TB 80.0% 65 52
FL – Finger Lakes 78.8% 33 26
IND – Indiana Grand 78.6% 84 66
MVR – Mahoning Valley Racinge 78.3% 23 18
LS -Lone Star Park 77.8% 36 28
AQU – Aqueduct 75.9% 87 66
AP – Arlington Park 75.8% 33 25
GG – Golden Gate 75.3% 85 64
SA – Santa Anita 73.8% 84 62
NP – Northlands Park 73.2% 56 41
BEL – Belmont Park 72.3% 94 68
WO – Woodbine 72.3% 159 115
EMD – Emerald Downs 72.0% 50 36
FNO – Fresno 71.4% 7 5
KEE – Keeneland 71.0% 62 44
LRL – Laurel Park 70.5% 105 74
ELP – Ellis Park 70.4% 27 19
TAM – Tampa Bay Downs 69.2% 26 18
TP – Turfway Park 68.4% 19 13
MNR – Mountaineer Park 68.2% 22 15
LAD – Louisiana Downs 67.6% 34 23
CD – Churchill Downs 67.3% 107 72
GPW – Gulfstream Park West 67.0% 115 77
EVD – Evangeline Downs 66.7% 45 30
DMR – Del Mar 66.4% 122 81
PEN – Penn National 65.9% 44 29
PRM – Prairie Meadows 65.9% 41 27
FG – Fair Grounds 65.3% 72 47
GP – Gulfstream Park 64.6% 181 117
DED – Delta Downs 64.6% 96 62
SAR- Saratoga 64.3% 70 45
CBY – Canterbury Park 64.1% 39 25
RET – Retama Park 63.9% 36 23
PRX – Parx 63.4% 82 52
MTH – Monmouth Park 62.9% 35 22
CT – Charles Town 62.3% 69 43
ZIA – Zia Park 61.8% 68 42
KD – Kentucky Downs 61.5% 13 8
RUI – Ruidoso Downs 61.5% 26 16
PIM – Pimlico 60.0% 5 3
TDN – Thistledowns 60.0% 25 15
TUP – Turf Paradise 56.8% 37 21
PLN – Pleasanton 55.6% 9 5
PID – Presque Isle Downs 54.4% 68 37
HST – Hastings Racecourse 54.3% 35 19
SUN – Sunland Park 53.8% 13 7
HAW – Hawthorne Racecourse 53.5% 43 23
SRP – Sun Ray Park 50.0% 8 4
STK – Stockton 50.0% 4 2
DEL – Delaware Park 47.4% 57 27
BTP – Belterra Park 43.8% 16 7
SAC – Sacramento 40.0% 5 2

Since this is the second or third time that I have reported the success of linemakers for just baby races, I won’t list a leader. The mean – 68.1% – success in tabbing the post time favourite with the morning line favourite.

* – DISCLAIMER: While every effort has been made to insure the correctness of the above data, this blog and its author assumes no liability for any mistakes in the above information.